- three years of investor losses, investor exhaustion, magnified by broad market recovery. No one wants to own a loser when the market is rallying.
- 70% to 80% of revenue is non-discretionary maintenance related. This stock is treated like a recreational/discretionary stock but it sells stuff that is absolutely required if you own a pool.
- Revenues, margins and operating profits took a hit during recession but cashflow increased.
- Stock price is 60% off of all time high, yet earnings off 30% and cashflow is currently at an all time high.
- shrinking shares - they are buying back shares consistently & rapidly
- by far the largest company in the pool supply business
- Huge cashflow. Pool installations are down 75% in the last few years yet cashflow is at an all time high. Pool installations aren't as relevant as market thinks.
- Hidden earnings. Latham Acquisition Corp (unconsolidated subsidiary) clouds earnings by 59 cents in most recent quarter.
Negatives:
I don't understand what competitive advantages a distributor can have.
They have few hard assets underlying balance sheet
They are just a distributor, can't home depot beat them if they wanted?
very competitive market, no moat
A history of growth by acquisition
No comments:
Post a Comment